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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7 · 18 October 2026 · 14:00

Angers vs Marseille: prediction, odds and betting tip – 18 October 2026, Ligue 1

LDLLW
2–5
1Angers3.93
XDraw3.90
2Marseille2.04

Top price available · Updated 18/10/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 2–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Angers vs Marseille, 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stade Raymond-Kopa (Angers), with J. Pignard officiating. The odds point to Marseille (49%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.

Angers vs Marseille: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Marseille +0 (Asian handicap)
1.53
Chance 65% · confidence high

Wins: Marseille win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Marseille lose.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.56
Chance 62% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Marseille (X2) at a probability of 74%, with odds of up to 1.31.
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Angers vs Marseille: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Angers lie 15th, having collected 8 points after 9 matches (2W 2D 5L); Marseille lie 6th, having collected 15 points (5W 0D 4L).

What to expect

In our view Marseille hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
  2. Unavailable: Angers 0, Marseille 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Angers: no absences. Marseille will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Angers vs Marseille: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available3.933.902.04
Market average3.753.781.95
Lowest odds3.603.501.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1779.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.681.6358.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.382.3141.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.572.4638.0%
BTTS – yes1.571.5360.6%
BTTS – no2.452.3639.4%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.5%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Angers 1–1 Marseille, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Angers 15th (8 points), Marseille 6th (15 points).
  • Absences: Angers 0, Marseille 0.

Who will win Angers vs Marseille?

Angers26%
Draw25%
Marseille49%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Angers vs Marseille: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.4% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.20
Likely
Draw or Marseille (X2)74.4% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.31
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.56
Likely
Both teams to score: yes60.6% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.6% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.68
Possible
Marseille to win49.1% · fair odds 2.04 · best 2.04
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.4% · fair odds 2.41 · best 2.38
Outsider
Both teams to score: no39.4% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.45
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.57
Outsider
Angers to win25.6% · fair odds 3.91 · best 3.93
Outsider
Draw25.3% · fair odds 3.95 · best 3.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.81 · Under 1.92
probability of over 51.5%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.73 · Under 2.04
probability of over 54.1%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.7%
1 : 29.6%
0 : 18.5%
0 : 27.7%
2 : 16.7%
2 : 26.0%

Angers vs Marseille: injuries and missing players

Angers

  • No reported absences

Marseille

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Toulouse103-4-315:1413
11Stade Brestois 2993-3-316:1212
12Lorient93-3-37:812
13Strasbourg103-1-618:2210
14Auxerre93-1-513:2310
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Angers

1 NovLLyon 2–0 Angers
25 OctDAngers 0–0 Lorient
18 OctLAngers 2–5 Marseille
10 OctLStade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers
19 SeptWAngers 2–0 Estac Troyes

Marseille

5 NovWBayer Leverkusen 0–1 Marseille
1 NovWMarseille 2–0 Toulouse
25 OctWMarseille 4–3 Le Havre
22 OctLSturm Graz 1–0 Marseille
18 OctWAngers 2–5 Marseille

Home and away

Angers at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–9
Marseille away4 matches: 2W 0D 2L, goals 7–5

Angers vs Marseille: last matches of both teams

Angers

L 1/11/26 · Lyon 2–0 Angers
D 25/10/26 · Angers 0–0 Lorient
L 10/10/26 · Stade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers
W 19/9/26 · Angers 2–0 Estac Troyes

Marseille

W 5/11/26 · Bayer Leverkusen 0–1 Marseille
W 1/11/26 · Marseille 2–0 Toulouse
W 25/10/26 · Marseille 4–3 Le Havre
L 22/10/26 · Sturm Graz 1–0 Marseille

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.5%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Angers vs Marseille?

Marseille +0 (Asian handicap) (1.53); Under 3.5 goals (1.56).

Who will win Angers vs Marseille?

Our estimate gives Angers a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Marseille 49%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers. Referee: J. Pignard.

Who will be missing?

Angers: no absences. Marseille: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.68) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.38).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.57).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.7%), then 1–2 (9.6%) and 0–1 (8.5%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Auxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 NovStade Brestois 29 vs Lyon 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.