Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Atalanta vs Inter (Serie A, 22 November 2026, 19:45): Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.88. Second tip: Inter to win at odds of 1.70. The bookmakers' odds give Atalanta 21%, the draw 22% and Inter 58%. The most likely score is 1–2.
Atalanta vs Inter: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Atalanta lie 13th, having collected 11 points after 10 matches (3W 2D 5L); Inter lie 2nd, having collected 25 points (8W 1D 1L).
What to expect
In our view Inter hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.45), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 65%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
- Unavailable: Atalanta 0, Inter 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.88). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Atalanta: no absences. Inter will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Atalanta vs Inter: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.75 | 4.68 | 1.70 |
| Market average | 4.58 | 4.37 | 1.64 |
| Lowest odds | 4.09 | 4.00 | 1.58 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.11 | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.40 | 67.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.91 | 32.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.03 | 47.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.45 | 1.44 | 64.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.66 | 2.63 | 35.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 04:55. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Atalanta 1–2 Inter, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Atalanta 13th (11 points), Inter 2nd (25 points).
- Absences: Atalanta 0, Inter 0.
Who will win Atalanta vs Inter?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Atalanta vs Inter: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Atalanta vs Inter: injuries and missing players
Atalanta
- No reported absences
Inter
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Atalanta
Home and away
Atalanta vs Inter: last matches of both teams
Atalanta
Inter
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Atalanta vs Inter?
Under 3.5 goals (1.88); Inter to win (1.70).
Who will win Atalanta vs Inter?
Our estimate gives Atalanta a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Inter 58%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 19:45, venue New Balance Arena, Bergamo.
Who will be missing?
Atalanta: no absences. Inter: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.44) and under 2.5 goals at 33% (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 65% (odds 1.45).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.5%), then 1–1 (8.6%) and 0–2 (7.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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