Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen welcome VfB Stuttgart on 31 October 2026 · 14:30 at BayArena (Leverkusen), and the referee is B. Brand. Bayer Leverkusen (57%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Bayer Leverkusen win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Bayer Leverkusen win by 1. Loses: a draw, Bayer Leverkusen lose.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Bayer Leverkusen lie 6th, having collected 13 points after 8 matches (4W 1D 3L); VfB Stuttgart lie 12th, having collected 9 points (3W 0D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Bayer Leverkusen average 2.3 goals for and 1.7 against, compared with 1.4 for and 1.9 against for VfB Stuttgart.
- Form in the competition. Bayer Leverkusen: 4W 1D 2L, goals 16–12; VfB Stuttgart: 2W 0D 5L, goals 10–13.
- Head to head. In 32 previous meetings, Bayer Leverkusen have taken 19 wins to VfB Stuttgart's 4 wins, plus 9 draws; the goal tally stands at 70–45.
What to expect
In our view Bayer Leverkusen hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.84), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 70%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 73%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 32; Bayer Leverkusen 19 wins, 9 draws, VfB Stuttgart 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Bayer Leverkusen 16–12, VfB Stuttgart 10–13.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 73%.
- Unavailable: Bayer Leverkusen 7, VfB Stuttgart 6.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 46%, top price 2.12). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Bayer Leverkusen: L. Bade, E. Ben Seghir, M. Diaby, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier. VfB Stuttgart will be without: J. Diehl, L. Sauer, A. Stiller, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.79 | 4.77 | 4.77 |
| Market average | 1.68 | 4.46 | 4.34 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.82 | 3.28 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 73.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.49 | 27.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.77 | 53.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.36 | 1.34 | 69.8% |
| BTTS – no | 3.30 | 3.09 | 30.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 14:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points), VfB Stuttgart 12th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 2L (16:12), VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 5L (10:13).
- H2H: 32 matches: Bayer Leverkusen 19W 9D 4L, goals 70–45.
- Absences: Bayer Leverkusen 7, VfB Stuttgart 6.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: injuries and missing players
Bayer Leverkusen
- L. Badeabsence · will miss the match
- E. Ben Seghirmuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Diabyhamstring injury · will miss the match
- G. Douecalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Eichhornillness · will miss the match
- C. Kofanemuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Terriermuscle injury · will miss the match
VfB Stuttgart
- J. Diehlmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Sauermuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Stillergroin injury · will miss the match
- T. Tomasmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Vagnomanmuscle injury · will miss the match
- D. Zagadoumuscle injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
Bayer Leverkusen
Home and away
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: last matches of both teams
Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Bayer LeverkusenLLWWWVfB StuttgartWLLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bayer Leverkusen -0.75 (Asian handicap) (2.01); Over 3.5 goals (1.84).
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our estimate gives Bayer Leverkusen a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and VfB Stuttgart 22%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 14:30, venue BayArena, Leverkusen. Referee: B. Brand.
Who will be missing?
Bayer Leverkusen: L. Bade, E. Ben Seghir, M. Diaby, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier. VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, L. Sauer, A. Stiller, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 73% (odds 1.32) and under 2.5 goals at 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 70% (odds 1.36).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.0%), then 1–1 (7.6%) and 3–1 (7.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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