Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen welcome SC Freiburg on 18 October 2026 · 14:30 at BayArena (Leverkusen), and the referee is F. Badstübner. Bayer Leverkusen (59%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: SC Freiburg win, a draw, SC Freiburg lose by 1. Loses: SC Freiburg lose by 2 or more.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Bayer Leverkusen lie 6th, having collected 13 points after 8 matches (4W 1D 3L); SC Freiburg lie 3rd, having collected 16 points (5W 1D 2L).
What to expect
In our view Bayer Leverkusen hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 63%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 65%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
- Unavailable: Bayer Leverkusen 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 63%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. SC Freiburg will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.64 | 4.67 | 5.17 |
| Market average | 1.61 | 4.49 | 4.91 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.10 | 84.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.43 | 65.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.84 | 2.71 | 34.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.11 | 45.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.49 | 62.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.49 | 37.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points), SC Freiburg 3rd (16 points).
- Absences: Bayer Leverkusen 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: injuries and missing players
Bayer Leverkusen
- No reported absences
SC Freiburg
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
Bayer Leverkusen
Home and away
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: last matches of both teams
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
SC Freiburg +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.59); Over 2.5 goals (1.45).
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
Our estimate gives Bayer Leverkusen a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SC Freiburg 19%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 14:30, venue BayArena, Leverkusen. Referee: F. Badstübner.
Who will be missing?
Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. SC Freiburg: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.45) and under 2.5 goals at 35% (odds 2.84).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.7%), then 1–1 (9.1%) and 2–0 (8.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.