Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham), Rotherham take on Newport County, with J. Callum in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Newport County win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Newport County lose.
Rotherham vs Newport County: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Rotherham lie 22nd, having collected 12 points after 14 matches (2W 6D 6L); Newport County lie 14th, having collected 18 points (4W 6D 4L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.3%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Newport County, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.75), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 49%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 49%.
- Unavailable: Rotherham 0, Newport County 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.88). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Rotherham: no absences. Newport County will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Rotherham vs Newport County: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.30 | 3.49 | 3.25 |
| Market average | 2.23 | 3.32 | 3.09 |
| Lowest odds | 2.16 | 3.05 | 2.93 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.92 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.84 | 51.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.27 | 28.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Rotherham 1–1 Newport County, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rotherham 22nd (12 points), Newport County 14th (18 points).
- Absences: Rotherham 0, Newport County 0.
Who will win Rotherham vs Newport County?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Rotherham vs Newport County: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Rotherham vs Newport County: injuries and missing players
Rotherham
- No reported absences
Newport County
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Rotherham
Home and away
Rotherham vs Newport County: last matches of both teams
Rotherham
Newport County
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Rotherham vs Newport County?
Newport County +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.96); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Rotherham vs Newport County?
Our estimate gives Rotherham a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Newport County 30%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham. Referee: J. Callum.
Who will be missing?
Rotherham: no absences. Newport County: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.97) and under 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.88).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.3%), then 1–0 (10.2%) and 2–1 (8.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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