Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
QPR welcome Burnley on 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at Loftus Road (London), and the referee is Tom Reeves. QPR (49%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
QPR vs Burnley: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. QPR lie 11th, having collected 21 points after 14 matches (5W 6D 3L); Burnley lie 22nd, having collected 10 points (1W 7D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, QPR average 1.6 goals for and 1.2 against, compared with 1.3 for and 1.9 against for Burnley.
- Form in the competition. QPR: 5W 5D 3L, goals 21–16; Burnley: 1W 6D 6L, goals 17–25.
- Head to head. In 11 previous meetings, QPR have taken 2 wins to Burnley's 5 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 9–18.
What to expect
In our view QPR hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 11; QPR 2 wins, 4 draws, Burnley 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: QPR 21–16, Burnley 17–25.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
- Unavailable: QPR 5, Burnley 12.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 57%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for QPR: R. Burrell, J. Clarke-Salter, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue. Burnley will be without: Z. Amdouni, B. Amos, A. Barnes, J. Beyer, A. Broja, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, S. Sambo, D. Satpaev, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
QPR vs Burnley: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.97 | 3.80 | 3.93 |
| Market average | 1.91 | 3.64 | 3.77 |
| Lowest odds | 1.87 | 3.37 | 3.57 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.22 | 76.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.73 | 54.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.08 | 45.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.74 | 34.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.17 | 42.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 3/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: QPR 1–1 Burnley, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: QPR 11th (21 points), Burnley 22nd (10 points).
- Form in the competition: QPR 5W 5D 3L (21:16), Burnley 1W 6D 6L (17:25).
- H2H: 11 matches: QPR 2W 4D 5L, goals 9–18.
- Absences: QPR 5, Burnley 12.
Who will win QPR vs Burnley?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
QPR vs Burnley: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
QPR vs Burnley: injuries and missing players
QPR
- R. Burrellnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Clarke-Salternot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Lampteynot in the squad · will miss the match
- N. Madseninjury · will miss the match
- A. S. Mbengueknee injury · will miss the match
Burnley
- Z. Amdouniankle injury · will miss the match
- B. Amosnot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. Barnesnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Beyerhamstring injury · will miss the match
- A. Brojainjury · will miss the match
- J. Bruun Larseninjury · will miss the match
- B. Humphreysmuscle injury · will miss the match
- H. Mejbrihamstring injury · will miss the match
- M. Obafeminot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Sambonot in the squad · will miss the match
- D. Satpaevnot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Tresor Ndayishimiyenot in the squad · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
QPR
Home and away
QPR vs Burnley: last matches of both teams
QPR
Burnley
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
QPRDLWLWBurnleyDDLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for QPR vs Burnley?
Draw or Burnley (X2) (1.93); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win QPR vs Burnley?
Our estimate gives QPR a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Burnley 25%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 3 November 2026 at 19:45, venue Loftus Road, London. Referee: Tom Reeves.
Who will be missing?
QPR: R. Burrell, J. Clarke-Salter, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue. Burnley: Z. Amdouni, B. Amos, A. Barnes, J. Beyer, A. Broja, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, S. Sambo, D. Satpaev, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.78) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.18).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.3%), then 1–0 (9.8%) and 2–1 (9.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.