Our tip for Como vs Cagliari (Serie A, 21 November 2026, 14:00): Cagliari +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.90. Second tip: Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.56. The bookmakers' odds give Como 70%, the draw 18% and Cagliari 12%. The most likely score is 2–0.
Wins: Cagliari win, a draw, Cagliari lose by 1. Loses: Cagliari lose by 2 or more.
Como vs Cagliari: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Como lie 4th, having collected 23 points after 10 matches (7W 2D 1L); Cagliari lie 12th, having collected 13 points (4W 1D 5L).
What to expect
In our view Como hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (11.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 50%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
- Unavailable: Como 0, Cagliari 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, top price 1.63). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Como: no absences. Cagliari will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Como vs Cagliari: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.38 | 5.63 | 9.05 |
| Market average | 1.34 | 5.13 | 8.19 |
| Lowest odds | 1.30 | 4.59 | 7.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.58 | 60.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.48 | 2.39 | 39.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.52 | 2.47 | 38.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.86 | 50.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.89 | 49.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 04:55. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Como 2–0 Cagliari, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Como 4th (23 points), Cagliari 12th (13 points).
- Absences: Como 0, Cagliari 0.
Who will win Como vs Cagliari?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Como vs Cagliari: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Como vs Cagliari: injuries and missing players
Como
- No reported absences
Cagliari
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 | |
| 19 | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 | |
| 20 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Como
Home and away
Como vs Cagliari: last matches of both teams
Como
Cagliari
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Como vs Cagliari?
Cagliari +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 3.5 goals (1.56).
Who will win Como vs Cagliari?
Our estimate gives Como a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Cagliari 12%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 21 November 2026 at 14:00, venue Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como.
Who will be missing?
Como: no absences. Cagliari: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.63) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.48).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 50% (odds 1.91).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (11.3%), then 1–0 (9.9%) and 2–1 (9.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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