Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence), Fiorentina take on Como, with Marco Di Bello, Italy in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Fiorentina vs Como: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Fiorentina lie 16th, having collected 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L); Como lie 4th, having collected 23 points (7W 2D 1L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.53), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Fiorentina 0, Como 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 62%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Fiorentina: no absences. Como will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Fiorentina vs Como: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.29 | 3.70 | 2.33 |
| Market average | 3.08 | 3.55 | 2.25 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 3.48 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.62 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.28 | 41.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.54 | 2.44 | 38.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.51 | 61.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.54 | 2.44 | 38.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 12:54. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Fiorentina 1–1 Como, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Fiorentina 16th (8 points), Como 4th (23 points).
- Absences: Fiorentina 0, Como 0.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Como?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Fiorentina vs Como: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Fiorentina vs Como: injuries and missing players
Fiorentina
- No reported absences
Como
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Fiorentina
Home and away
Fiorentina vs Como: last matches of both teams
Fiorentina
Como
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Fiorentina vs Como?
Fiorentina or draw (1X) (1.73); Both teams to score (1.53).
Who will win Fiorentina vs Como?
Our estimate gives Fiorentina a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Como 42%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence. Referee: Marco Di Bello, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Fiorentina: no absences. Como: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.65) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.9%), then 1–2 (9.0%) and 0–1 (7.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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