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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11 · 21 November 2026 · 19:45

Lille vs Lyon: prediction, odds and betting tip – 21 November 2026, Ligue 1

WDDWL
VS
WLWLW
1Lille2.41
XDraw3.66
2Lyon3.09

Top price available · Updated 7/11/26, 05:05

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Our tip for Lille vs Lyon (Ligue 1, 21 November 2026, 19:45): Lille +0 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.77. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.73. The bookmakers' odds give Lille 41%, the draw 28% and Lyon 32%. The most likely score is 1–1.

Lille vs Lyon: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Lille +0 (Asian handicap)
1.77
Chance 56% · confidence medium

Wins: Lille win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Lille lose.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.73
Chance 55% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
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Lille vs Lyon: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Lille lie 2nd, having collected 18 points after 9 matches (5W 3D 1L); Lyon lie 3rd, having collected 17 points (5W 2D 2L).

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.2%). This one looks finely poised.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.73), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
  2. Unavailable: Lille 0, Lyon 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 1.95). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Lille: no absences. Lyon will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Lille vs Lyon: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.413.663.09
Market average2.333.443.00
Lowest odds2.253.302.88
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.301.2774.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.951.9250.2%
Under 2.5 goals1.991.9349.8%
Over 3.5 goals3.403.2229.4%
BTTS – yes1.731.6955.2%
BTTS – no2.122.0844.8%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:05. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.4%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Lille 1–1 Lyon, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Lille 2nd (18 points), Lyon 3rd (17 points).
  • Absences: Lille 0, Lyon 0.

Who will win Lille vs Lyon?

Lille41%
Draw28%
Lyon32%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Lille vs Lyon: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals74.1% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.6% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.38
Likely
Lille or draw (1X)68.3% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.43
Likely
Both teams to score: yes55.2% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.73
Possible
Over 2.5 goals50.2% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.95
Possible
Under 2.5 goals49.8% · fair odds 2.01 · best 1.99
Outsider
Both teams to score: no44.8% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.12
Outsider
Lille to win40.7% · fair odds 2.46 · best 2.41
Outsider
Lyon to win31.7% · fair odds 3.16 · best 3.09
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.4% · fair odds 3.40 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw27.6% · fair odds 3.62 · best 3.66
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Correct score tips

1 : 112.2%
1 : 09.7%
2 : 18.8%
0 : 18.4%
1 : 27.6%
2 : 07.1%

Lille vs Lyon: injuries and missing players

Lille

  • No reported absences

Lyon

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Toulouse103-4-315:1413
11Stade Brestois 2993-3-316:1212
12Lorient93-3-37:812
13Strasbourg103-1-618:2210
14Auxerre93-1-513:2310
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Lille

3 NovDBodø/Glimt 0–0 Lille
30 OctWLille 1–0 Lens
25 OctDMonaco 1–1 Lille
21 OctLLille 2–4 Galatasaray
17 OctDLille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29

Lyon

5 NovDReal Sociedad 1–1 Lyon
1 NovWLyon 2–0 Angers
26 OctLParis Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon
22 OctL1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Lyon
18 OctWLyon 2–1 Nice

Home and away

Lille at home5 matches: 3W 2D 0L, goals 7–3
Lyon away4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 3–4

Lille vs Lyon: last matches of both teams

Lille

D 3/11/26 · Bodø/Glimt 0–0 Lille
W 30/10/26 · Lille 1–0 Lens
D 25/10/26 · Monaco 1–1 Lille
L 21/10/26 · Lille 2–4 Galatasaray
D 17/10/26 · Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29

Lyon

D 5/11/26 · Real Sociedad 1–1 Lyon
W 1/11/26 · Lyon 2–0 Angers
L 26/10/26 · Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon
L 22/10/26 · 1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Lyon
W 18/10/26 · Lyon 2–1 Nice

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.4%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Lille vs Lyon?

Lille +0 (Asian handicap) (1.77); Both teams to score (1.73).

Who will win Lille vs Lyon?

Our estimate gives Lille a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lyon 32%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 21 November 2026 at 19:45, venue Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille.

Who will be missing?

Lille: no absences. Lyon: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.95) and under 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.99).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.73).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (12.2%), then 1–0 (9.7%) and 2–1 (8.8%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Auxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 NovStade Brestois 29 vs Lyon 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

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